Al Fayha vs Al Ahli prediction

Al Fayha have not won in their last 5, while Al Ahli have won 3 of their last 5. Al Fayha average 1.4 scored and 1.4 conceded at home, while Al Ahli average 1.5 scored and 1.4 conceded away from home. In their last 2 meetings Al Fayha won 0, drew 1 and lost 1 to Al Ahli, with 2.0 goals a game. Our model expects Al Fayha to score about 1.1 and Al Ahli about 1.6. Al Fayha should avoid losing by two goals or more.