Santa Clara vs Benfica prediction

Santa Clara are unbeaten in their last 5, while Benfica have won 4 of their last 5. Santa Clara average 1.4 scored and 0.8 conceded at home, while Benfica average 2.2 scored and 1.0 conceded away from home. In their last 2 meetings Santa Clara won 0, drew 1 and lost 1 to Benfica, with 2.5 goals a game. Our model expects Santa Clara to score about 1.2 and Benfica about 1.5. Santa Clara should avoid losing by two goals or more.