Villarreal vs Espanyol prediction

Villarreal have taken 7 points from their last 5, while Espanyol have not won in their last 5. Villarreal average 2.2 scored and 1.4 conceded at home, while Espanyol average 1.3 scored and 1.7 conceded away from home. When they last met, Villarreal won 4-1 against Espanyol. Our model expects Villarreal to score about 1.7 and Espanyol about 1.1. Espanyol should avoid losing by two goals or more.