Al Taawoun vs Al Ettifaq prediction

Al Taawoun have not won in their last 5, while Al Ettifaq have taken 8 points from their last 5. Al Taawoun average 1.0 scored and 1.3 conceded at home, while Al Ettifaq average 1.5 scored and 1.4 conceded away from home. In their last 2 meetings Al Taawoun won 1, drew 0 and lost 1 to Al Ettifaq, with 3.0 goals a game. Our model expects Al Taawoun to score about 1.0 and Al Ettifaq about 1.6. Al Ettifaq should win this, and a draw only returns the stake.