Carrarese vs Sampdoria prediction

Carrarese have won 3 of their last 5, while Sampdoria have lost 3 of their last 5. Carrarese average 1.3 scored and 0.9 conceded at home, while Sampdoria average 0.7 scored and 1.5 conceded away from home. When they last met, Carrarese won 2-0 against Sampdoria. Our model expects Carrarese to score about 1.5 and Sampdoria about 0.9. Carrarese should win this, and a draw only returns the stake.