Malta vs Luxembourg prediction

Malta have not won in their last 5, while Luxembourg have not won in their last 5. Malta average 0.9 scored and 2.7 conceded at home, while Luxembourg average 0.8 scored and 4.3 conceded away from home. Our model expects Malta to score about 1.7 and Luxembourg about 1.3. We expect only around 3.0 goals in total, so a tight, low-scoring game looks likely.