PSV vs Heerenveen prediction

PSV have won 3 of their last 5, while Heerenveen have taken 5 points from their last 5. PSV average 2.9 scored and 1.6 conceded at home, while Heerenveen average 1.7 scored and 1.7 conceded away from home. In their last 2 meetings PSV won 2, drew 0 and lost 0 to Heerenveen, with 3.0 goals a game. Our model expects PSV to score about 1.9 and Heerenveen about 1.5. We expect around 3.3 goals in total, so goals look likely.