Harborough Town vs Southport prediction

Harborough Town have taken 7 points from their last 5, while Southport have lost 3 of their last 5. Harborough Town average 1.7 scored and 1.3 conceded at home, while Southport average 1.3 scored and 2.0 conceded away from home. Our model expects Harborough Town to score about 1.8 and Southport about 1.0. We expect only around 2.8 goals in total, so a tight, low-scoring game looks likely.