Flamengo vs Fluminense prediction

Flamengo are unbeaten in their last 5, while Fluminense have won 3 of their last 5. Flamengo average 2.1 scored and 0.8 conceded at home, while Fluminense average 1.2 scored and 1.4 conceded away from home. When they last met, Flamengo won 2-1 against Fluminense. Our model expects Flamengo to score about 1.8 and Fluminense about 1.0. We expect only around 2.8 goals in total, so a tight, low-scoring game looks likely.