Mechelen vs Sint-Truiden prediction

Mechelen have not won in their last 5, while Sint-Truiden have lost 3 of their last 5. Mechelen average 1.1 scored and 1.4 conceded at home, while Sint-Truiden average 1.8 scored and 1.2 conceded away from home. In their last 4 meetings Mechelen won 0, drew 0 and lost 4 to Sint-Truiden, with 3.3 goals a game. Our model expects Mechelen to score about 1.1 and Sint-Truiden about 1.6. Mechelen should be hard to beat here.