Cardiff City vs Watford prediction

Cardiff City have lost 3 of their last 5, while Watford have lost 4 of their last 5. Cardiff City average 2.0 scored and 1.3 conceded at home, while Watford average 0.9 scored and 1.8 conceded away from home. Our model expects Cardiff City to score about 1.8 and Watford about 1.0. We expect only around 2.8 goals in total, so a tight, low-scoring game looks likely.