Peru vs Philippines prediction

Peru have lost 3 of their last 4, while Philippines have lost 3 of their last 5. Peru average 0.5 scored and 2.3 conceded at home, while Philippines average 1.0 scored and 2.0 conceded away from home. When they last met, Peru won 2-1 against Philippines. Our model expects Peru to score about 1.5 and Philippines about 1.1. Philippines should at least avoid defeat.