Ukraine vs Slovakia prediction

Ukraine have lost 4 of their last 5, while Slovakia have lost 4 of their last 5. Ukraine average 1.2 scored and 2.6 conceded at home, while Slovakia average 1.3 scored and 3.0 conceded away from home. In their last 2 meetings Ukraine won 2, drew 0 and lost 0 to Slovakia, with 3.5 goals a game. Our model expects Ukraine to score about 1.7 and Slovakia about 1.3. We expect only around 2.9 goals in total, so a tight, low-scoring game looks likely.