Villarreal vs Napoli prediction

Villarreal have lost 3 of their last 5, while Napoli have lost 3 of their last 5. Villarreal average 2.2 scored and 1.4 conceded at home, while Napoli average 1.4 scored and 1.1 conceded away from home. Our model expects Villarreal to score about 1.6 and Napoli about 1.4. We expect only around 3.0 goals in total, so a tight, low-scoring game looks likely.