Norwich City vs Southampton prediction

Norwich City have lost 4 of their last 5, while Southampton have taken 8 points from their last 5. Norwich City average 1.8 scored and 1.1 conceded at home, while Southampton average 1.8 scored and 1.2 conceded away from home. When they last met, Norwich City lost 0-1 against Southampton. Our model expects Norwich City to score about 1.7 and Southampton about 1.6. Norwich City should be hard to beat here.