Roma vs Real Madrid prediction

Roma are unbeaten in their last 5, while Real Madrid have won 4 of their last 5. Roma average 2.3 scored and 0.9 conceded at home, while Real Madrid average 1.6 scored and 1.4 conceded away from home. Our model expects Roma to score about 1.7 and Real Madrid about 1.2. We expect only around 2.9 goals in total, so a tight, low-scoring game looks likely.