Atalanta vs Pafos prediction

Atalanta have lost 3 of their last 5, while Pafos have taken 8 points from their last 5. Atalanta average 1.5 scored and 1.0 conceded at home, while Pafos average 0.4 scored and 1.3 conceded away from home. Our model expects Atalanta to score about 1.5 and Pafos about 1.1. Pafos should at least avoid defeat.