Benfica vs Celtic prediction

Benfica have won 4 of their last 5, while Celtic have lost 3 of their last 5. Benfica average 2.7 scored and 0.9 conceded at home, while Celtic average 1.8 scored and 1.4 conceded away from home. Our model expects Benfica to score about 1.8 and Celtic about 1.3. We expect only around 3.1 goals in total, so a tight, low-scoring game looks likely.