Gent vs AGF prediction

Gent are unbeaten in their last 5, while AGF have not won in their last 5. Gent average 1.1 scored and 0.8 conceded at home, while AGF average 1.5 scored and 1.6 conceded away from home. Our model expects Gent to score about 1.7 and AGF about 1.0. Gent have the edge and should have too much for AGF.