Connah's Quay Nomads vs Porthmadog prediction

Connah's Quay Nomads are unbeaten in their last 5, while Porthmadog have taken 6 points from their last 5. Connah's Quay Nomads average 2.2 scored and 0.9 conceded at home. Our model expects Connah's Quay Nomads to score about 1.9 and Porthmadog about 0.9. Connah's Quay Nomads have the edge and should have too much for Porthmadog.