Flint Town United vs Caernarfon Town prediction

Flint Town United have lost 3 of their last 5, while Caernarfon Town have taken 8 points from their last 5. Flint Town United average 1.3 scored and 1.5 conceded at home, while Caernarfon Town average 1.8 scored and 1.3 conceded away from home. In their last 3 meetings Flint Town United won 0, drew 1 and lost 2 to Caernarfon Town, with 2.7 goals a game. Our model expects Flint Town United to score about 1.2 and Caernarfon Town about 1.8. Caernarfon Town should at least avoid defeat.