Gretna 2008 vs Johnstone Burgh prediction

Gretna 2008 have won 3 of their last 5, while Johnstone Burgh have won 3 of their last 5. Gretna 2008 average 1.8 scored and 2.6 conceded at home, while Johnstone Burgh average 1.5 scored and 2.0 conceded away from home. Our model expects Gretna 2008 to score about 2.0 and Johnstone Burgh about 2.0. Gretna 2008 should avoid losing by two goals or more.