Hamburger SV vs Stuttgart prediction

Hamburger SV have lost 3 of their last 5, while Stuttgart have won 3 of their last 5. Hamburger SV average 1.4 scored and 1.5 conceded at home, while Stuttgart average 2.7 scored and 1.6 conceded away from home. In their last 2 meetings Hamburger SV won 1, drew 0 and lost 1 to Stuttgart, with 3.5 goals a game. Our model expects Hamburger SV to score about 1.4 and Stuttgart about 2.0. Stuttgart should avoid losing by two goals or more.