Inverness CT vs Arbroath prediction

Inverness CT have won 3 of their last 5, while Arbroath have lost 4 of their last 5. Inverness CT average 1.6 scored and 0.8 conceded at home, while Arbroath average 1.0 scored and 1.3 conceded away from home. When they last met, Inverness CT drew 0-0 against Arbroath. Our model expects Inverness CT to score about 1.8 and Arbroath about 0.8. Inverness CT should win this, and a draw only returns the stake.