Keith vs Invergordon prediction

Keith have lost 3 of their last 5, while Invergordon have lost 3 of their last 5. Keith average 2.1 scored and 0.8 conceded at home, while Invergordon average 1.1 scored and 3.3 conceded away from home. Our model expects Keith to score about 2.2 and Invergordon about 1.1. Keith should avoid losing by two goals or more.