Kilmarnock vs Motherwell prediction

Kilmarnock have taken 6 points from their last 5, while Motherwell have lost 4 of their last 5. Kilmarnock average 1.4 scored and 1.6 conceded at home, while Motherwell average 1.2 scored and 1.5 conceded away from home. In their last 2 meetings Kilmarnock won 0, drew 0 and lost 2 to Motherwell, with 4.0 goals a game. Our model expects Kilmarnock to score about 1.4 and Motherwell about 1.4. We expect around 2.8 goals in total, so goals look likely.