Ried vs Austria Wien prediction

Ried have won 3 of their last 5, while Austria Wien have lost 3 of their last 5. Ried average 1.6 scored and 1.1 conceded at home, while Austria Wien average 1.6 scored and 1.5 conceded away from home. In their last 2 meetings Ried won 0, drew 0 and lost 2 to Austria Wien, with 3.5 goals a game. Our model expects Ried to score about 1.7 and Austria Wien about 1.2. We expect around 2.8 goals in total, so goals look likely.