Roma vs Genoa prediction

Roma are unbeaten in their last 5, while Genoa have taken 7 points from their last 5. Roma average 2.3 scored and 0.9 conceded at home, while Genoa average 0.9 scored and 1.4 conceded away from home. In their last 2 meetings Roma won 1, drew 0 and lost 1 to Genoa, with 3.5 goals a game. Our model expects Roma to score about 1.8 and Genoa about 0.9. We expect around 2.8 goals in total, so goals look likely.