Telstar vs Feyenoord prediction

Telstar have not won in their last 5, while Feyenoord have won 4 of their last 5. Telstar average 1.7 scored and 1.8 conceded at home, while Feyenoord average 2.0 scored and 1.6 conceded away from home. In their last 2 meetings Telstar won 0, drew 0 and lost 2 to Feyenoord, with 3.0 goals a game. Our model expects Telstar to score about 1.1 and Feyenoord about 2.1. Feyenoord should avoid losing by two goals or more.