Troyes vs Lens prediction

Troyes have lost 4 of their last 5, while Lens have taken 7 points from their last 5. Troyes average 1.3 scored and 1.8 conceded at home, while Lens average 2.3 scored and 1.5 conceded away from home. When they last met, Troyes lost 2-4 against Lens. Our model expects Troyes to score about 1.3 and Lens about 1.7. We expect around 3.0 goals in total, so goals look likely.