Monza vs Cagliari prediction

Monza have taken 7 points from their last 5, while Cagliari have won 3 of their last 5. Monza average 2.7 scored and 2.1 conceded at home, while Cagliari average 1.0 scored and 1.5 conceded away from home. Our model expects Monza to score about 1.3 and Cagliari about 1.3. Monza should find the net, with about 1.3 goals expected from them.