Al Taawoun vs Al Qadsiah prediction

Al Taawoun have not won in their last 5, while Al Qadsiah are unbeaten in their last 5. Al Taawoun average 1.1 scored and 1.3 conceded at home, while Al Qadsiah average 2.5 scored and 1.0 conceded away from home. In their last 2 meetings Al Taawoun won 1, drew 1 and lost 0 to Al Qadsiah, with 2.0 goals a game. Our model expects Al Taawoun to score about 0.9 and Al Qadsiah about 2.0. Al Qadsiah should win this, and a draw only returns the stake.