Luton Town vs Barnsley prediction

Luton Town have taken 7 points from their last 5, while Barnsley have not won in their last 5. Luton Town average 1.9 scored and 1.0 conceded at home, while Barnsley average 1.4 scored and 1.7 conceded away from home. When they last met, Luton Town won 2-1 against Barnsley. Our model expects Luton Town to score about 2.2 and Barnsley about 1.2. We expect only around 3.4 goals in total, so a tight, low-scoring game looks likely.