Ajax vs Atalanta prediction

Ajax have taken 8 points from their last 5, while Atalanta have lost 3 of their last 5. Ajax average 2.1 scored and 1.3 conceded at home, while Atalanta average 1.3 scored and 1.4 conceded away from home. Our model expects Ajax to score about 2.0 and Atalanta about 1.3. Ajax should be hard to beat here.