Celje vs Red Bull Salzburg prediction

Celje have lost 3 of their last 5, while Red Bull Salzburg have won 3 of their last 5. Celje average 1.3 scored and 1.5 conceded at home, while Red Bull Salzburg average 1.9 scored and 1.0 conceded away from home. Our model expects Celje to score about 1.1 and Red Bull Salzburg about 1.6. Celje should avoid losing by two goals or more.