Sturm Graz vs Marseille prediction

Sturm Graz have taken 7 points from their last 5, while Marseille have lost 3 of their last 5. Sturm Graz average 1.8 scored and 1.0 conceded at home, while Marseille average 2.1 scored and 1.6 conceded away from home. Our model expects Sturm Graz to score about 1.8 and Marseille about 1.2. We expect only around 3.0 goals in total, so a tight, low-scoring game looks likely.