Brest vs Nice prediction

Brest have taken 7 points from their last 5, while Nice have taken 7 points from their last 5. Brest average 1.7 scored and 1.5 conceded at home, while Nice average 0.8 scored and 1.5 conceded away from home. In their last 2 meetings Brest won 1, drew 1 and lost 0 to Nice, with 4.5 goals a game. Our model expects Brest to score about 1.7 and Nice about 1.1. Brest should win this, and a draw only returns the stake.