Derry City vs Dundalk prediction

Derry City have won 3 of their last 5, while Dundalk have not won in their last 5. Derry City average 1.7 scored and 1.1 conceded at home, while Dundalk average 1.6 scored and 1.8 conceded away from home. In their last 4 meetings Derry City won 1, drew 2 and lost 1 to Dundalk, with 4.3 goals a game. Our model expects Derry City to score about 1.8 and Dundalk about 1.3. We expect only around 3.1 goals in total, so a tight, low-scoring game looks likely.