Antwerp vs Sporting Charleroi prediction

Antwerp have not won in their last 5, while Sporting Charleroi have won 4 of their last 5. Antwerp average 1.4 scored and 1.6 conceded at home, while Sporting Charleroi average 1.3 scored and 1.0 conceded away from home. In their last 3 meetings Antwerp won 0, drew 0 and lost 3 to Sporting Charleroi, with 2.0 goals a game. Our model expects Antwerp to score about 1.2 and Sporting Charleroi about 1.7. We expect only around 2.9 goals in total, so a tight, low-scoring game looks likely.