Chapecoense vs Fluminense prediction

Chapecoense have not won in their last 5, while Fluminense have lost 3 of their last 5. Chapecoense average 1.4 scored and 2.4 conceded at home, while Fluminense average 1.2 scored and 1.4 conceded away from home. When they last met, Chapecoense lost 1-2 against Fluminense. Our model expects Chapecoense to score about 1.2 and Fluminense about 1.7. Chapecoense should find the net, with about 1.2 goals expected from them.