Cheltenham Town vs Newport County prediction

Cheltenham Town have lost 3 of their last 5, while Newport County are unbeaten in their last 5. Cheltenham Town average 1.6 scored and 1.8 conceded at home, while Newport County average 1.3 scored and 1.4 conceded away from home. When they last met, Cheltenham Town won 1-0 against Newport County. Our model expects Cheltenham Town to score about 1.6 and Newport County about 1.4. We expect only around 3.0 goals in total, so a tight, low-scoring game looks likely.