Chorley vs Buxton prediction

Chorley have won 3 of their last 5, while Buxton have lost 3 of their last 5. Chorley average 1.6 scored and 1.3 conceded at home, while Buxton average 1.6 scored and 1.2 conceded away from home. When they last met, Chorley lost 1-2 against Buxton. Our model expects Chorley to score about 1.7 and Buxton about 1.2. Buxton should avoid losing by two goals or more.