Henan vs Beijing Guoan prediction

Henan have not won in their last 5, while Beijing Guoan are unbeaten in their last 5. Henan average 1.2 scored and 1.1 conceded at home, while Beijing Guoan average 1.9 scored and 1.0 conceded away from home. In their last 2 meetings Henan won 2, drew 0 and lost 0 to Beijing Guoan, with 2.5 goals a game. Our model expects Henan to score about 1.2 and Beijing Guoan about 1.5. Henan should find the net, with about 1.2 goals expected from them.