León vs Toluca prediction

León have taken 8 points from their last 5, while Toluca have taken 5 points from their last 5. León average 1.7 scored and 1.5 conceded at home, while Toluca average 1.1 scored and 1.1 conceded away from home. In their last 2 meetings León won 0, drew 0 and lost 2 to Toluca, with 5.5 goals a game. Our model expects León to score about 1.6 and Toluca about 1.6. We expect only around 3.2 goals in total, so a tight, low-scoring game looks likely.