Sirius vs AIK prediction

Sirius are unbeaten in their last 5, while AIK have not won in their last 5. Sirius average 2.3 scored and 1.3 conceded at home, while AIK average 1.7 scored and 1.2 conceded away from home. In their last 2 meetings Sirius won 1, drew 0 and lost 1 to AIK, with 3.0 goals a game. Our model expects Sirius to score about 2.1 and AIK about 1.6. AIK should avoid losing by two goals or more.