Toulouse vs Troyes prediction

Toulouse have taken 8 points from their last 5, while Troyes have not won in their last 5. Toulouse average 1.1 scored and 1.3 conceded at home, while Troyes average 1.9 scored and 0.9 conceded away from home. Our model expects Toulouse to score about 1.8 and Troyes about 1.2. We expect only around 3.0 goals in total, so a tight, low-scoring game looks likely.