Turriff United vs Wick Academy prediction

Turriff United have lost 3 of their last 5, while Wick Academy have lost 3 of their last 5. Turriff United average 1.8 scored and 1.3 conceded at home, while Wick Academy average 0.9 scored and 2.6 conceded away from home. In their last 3 meetings Turriff United won 2, drew 0 and lost 1 to Wick Academy, with 2.0 goals a game. Our model expects Turriff United to score about 2.1 and Wick Academy about 1.0. Turriff United should win this, and a draw only returns the stake.