Utrecht vs PEC Zwolle prediction

Utrecht have won 3 of their last 5, while PEC Zwolle have lost 3 of their last 5. Utrecht average 1.5 scored and 1.4 conceded at home, while PEC Zwolle average 1.1 scored and 2.9 conceded away from home. When they last met, Utrecht drew 1-1 against PEC Zwolle. Our model expects Utrecht to score about 1.9 and PEC Zwolle about 1.4. We expect only around 3.3 goals in total, so a tight, low-scoring game looks likely.