Vasco da Gama vs Corinthians prediction

Vasco da Gama have won 3 of their last 5, while Corinthians have not won in their last 5. Vasco da Gama average 1.4 scored and 1.4 conceded at home, while Corinthians average 1.0 scored and 1.3 conceded away from home. When they last met, Vasco da Gama lost 0-1 against Corinthians. Our model expects Vasco da Gama to score about 1.4 and Corinthians about 1.0. We expect around 2.4 goals in total, so goals look likely.