PSG vs Olympique Lyonnais prediction

PSG are unbeaten in their last 5, while Olympique Lyonnais have won 4 of their last 5. PSG average 2.5 scored and 1.2 conceded at home, while Olympique Lyonnais average 1.4 scored and 1.3 conceded away from home. When they last met, PSG lost 1-2 against Olympique Lyonnais. Our model expects PSG to score about 1.9 and Olympique Lyonnais about 1.3. Olympique Lyonnais should avoid losing by two goals or more.